Thye CIMSS Prob Severe Model continued to generate high probabilities with cells south/southeast of Norman. A cell split with the right mover producer another tornadic supercell in northwest Atoka, and southeast Coal counties. The SVR PROB values were in the 97-99% range. Attached is the image from 2245 UTC. Confidence increased for a TOR warning over a severe thunderstorm warning.
The image below shows the 2246 UTC 0.5 Deg Base REF with a hook echo forming. Some local TV stations showed the ground truth of a tornado on the ground near Stillwater later on.
Yodamaster777/JFP
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