Thursday, May 16, 2019

Pinwheel Fronts In The Dakotas

Mid afternoon into early evening saw a bretty good bloom of supercells along a SSW-NNE Cold Fronf in North Dakota...


Thru the period the SVRProb and SVRtor seemed to regularly over warn during this outbreak, BUT SVRHail was spot on, a little False Alarm-y, but it sure didn't miss the Large Hail reports, with %s >90 both instances.  The RGB Day Convection GOES product seemed to respond pretty well with the hail instances as well.



Afternoon NUCAPS over forecast the CAPEs by ~ 500, PW by 0.2", did well with the Downrush temp and DCAPE tho.

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