ProbSevere Provides Valuable Lead Time for ICT

ProbSevere provided valuable lead time on redevelopment of MCS in northern portions of ICT CWA after 6:00pm local time. Quarter size hail was reported in Madison County (two counties NNE of radar) at 6:15pm, where ProbHail increased to over 80% (Figure 1). ProbWind remained rather high through the event (>80%), so was less useful, but became maximized as the storm moved through Chase and Greenwood counties, where wind gusts of 65-70 mph were reported.

Figure 1. ProbHail spiked back up on storm over central Marion County (two counties NNE of Radar) between 6:00pm and 6:15pm when quarter size hail 

was reported.

Figure 2. ProbWind proved less usefull as values remained quite high 

throughout event, but severe wind gusts were reported in Chase and northern

Greenwood counties. 

- BO