CI Algorithm in OUN

Monitoring the CI algorithm on 5/2 in the OUN county warning area, limited value was added. Values did increase in the scans leading up to convective imitation, however, in most cases these increasing probs were not associated with storms that actually did initiate (see animation below). Many of the higher values were well ahead of the boundary where we knew storms would not go. Back along the boundary where storms did develop, CI probs were either non existent (due to cirrus cover) or very low. There were limited instances of success. The only value I would say CI did provide was showing increasing probs in general across the area prior to CI. This could tell the forecaster that initiation is close, just not exactly where.

- Bucky