Lone storm in Arkansas

One lone storm in southern Arkansas along a sagging cold front jumped in ProbSevere values (40%->50%->74%->90%), due to a strong normalized satellite growth rate, and a jump in total flash rate. This storm was just outside the SPC's wind and hail outlook.

Fig. 1: Strong ProbSevere values on an isolated storm in southern Arkansas.

Fig. 2: Our storm in southern Arkansas with the western edge of the SPC severe wind outlook (5%).