GOES SRSOR imagery along with GOES CI product showing congested cumulus development over wrn/cntrl portions of LWX CWA in advance of upper disturbance lifting out of the TN valley. Note the lower to moderate bound probs of CI now taking shape immediatedly upstream over srn RLX CWA.
Based on recent sfc modified NUCAPS sounding, expect convn will develop soon over swrn portions of the CWA. Modest instability and increasing shear ahead of sw trough will bring a slight chance for severe storms later this aftn. Will cont to monitor...
Tornadotod
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