A pair of severe storms were approaching our CWA from the north. Just before these storms entered the CWA, the ProbSevere began to fall, dropping to 60% and 48% respectively. At this same time, traditional radar signatures remained elevated and a warning issuance was appropriate.
Due to the rapid increase of convective activity across the CWA at this time, I was relying on ProbSevere to highlight storms of interest while I was interrogating or warning on other storms. Because of the drop in ProbSevere, on the storms mentioned in the previous paragraph, I did not further interrogate those storms until they were right on the border. As soon as I saw the traditional radar signatures, a severe warning was issued.
In this situation, ProbSevere actually reduced my situational awareness and the lead time on the warning on these storms. That said, I was working sort of a "worst case" scenario, because several storms were reaching severe criteria at the same time I was was issuing warnings on my own (partner was writing a blog post). I all likelihood, multiple people would have been working this event and I would have had a more manageable workload, so I wouldn't have missed this storm. However, I feel like these "worst case" scenarios are exactly when ProbSevere can help, by identifying which storms require further interrogation.
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