Wednesday, April 27, 2016

ProbSevere Continues To Struggle

A storm rapidly intensified on the south flank of a line of storms. The reflectivity core (top left in image below) quickly quickly intensified, with a large area greater than 60dBZ exceeding 19kft (around -20C).


Unfortunately, at this same time, ProbSevere was only at 64%, and at the previous time was less than 30%. ProbSevere did quickly catch on after this, but I had laready issued the warning, so ProbSevere provided no lead time or enchanced confidence for that warning.

-Toki Wartooth

No comments:

Post a Comment