I was focused on a storm south of Cheyenne that was
developing just west of I-25. The first few scans showed some potential with
the storm. The Prob Svr was indicating smaller values (~30% range) around
1930Z. I utilized the all-tilts and dual pol products to see the extent of the
storm height and magnitude of the reflectivity. It was apparent that 60+ dbz
were up to around 19,000 AGL at the time. A freezing level of around 4,000 AGL
gave confidence that some type of hail was falling. It was only about ten minutes
later than the Prob Svr jumped from the 30% range to the 70% range. This would
have had a decent influence on any warning that was issued. Soundings depicted
plenty of dry air aloft, which would have supported some wind associated with
this storm. Approximately 15 minutes time passed before velocity returns showed
interest features that may have signified some decent wind gusts.
Jared Maples
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