The final day of week 1 is already in progress and a
complicated forecast it is (due primary to overnight convection). Our initial thought was to play in the
moderate risk associated with the low pressure and warm front, but with the
presence of ongoing convection and the desire to utilize many of the GOESR
products meant for the pre-CI and CI environment we decided to shake it up. One
group of forecasters (Rudge/Bickford) remains in the moderate risk in Des
Moines (DMX) CWA while the other pair (Maples / Thoren) is operating in the
Wichita (ICT) CWA and looking for possible development ahead of the surface
cold front/dryline. While some convection
is already ongiong in the north and eastern DMX CWA, expectation is that
supercell storms (and tornadoes) will develop in the area clearing farther
west. Severe activity in the ICT CWA is
a bit more uncertain and timing is likely a later this afternoon and evening if
it were to occur.
SPC Day 1 Outlook
Current Watches over operational domain
Super-Rapid Scan (1 min imagery) is in it’s first day of
operations. The animated gif (click to
show animation) below shows the Cu development along the cold front into the
ICT domain and clearing in the western DMX domain.
Super-rapid scan visible satellite on 8 May 2014
-K. Calhoun, Week 1 Coordinator
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