Monday, May 21, 2012

UAH-CI provides 1 hour 20 minute lead time on 1 inch hail report

The UAH-CI product provided a strength of signal forecast of 75.0 at 1702 UTC on a cell developing in Lincoln County, New Mexico (see image below). At approximately 1820 UTC, the NWS received a report of 1" hail associated with this cell. This location in New Mexico is quite far from the GOES-East subsatellite point, yet the product still has very good utility at these distances. The University of Wisconsin CTR product followed up the UAH-CI forecast at 1745 UTC with a cooling rate of -24 to -25 C per 15 minutes.
Other cells have continued develop including the cell that featured a strength of signal over 90 in the image above!

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