Nearcasting Forecasts Instability in ALY Area

Storms west of Albany, NY are forecast to move into an area of higher instability that is forecast by the UW-CIMSS Nearcasting Model.  New midlevel (780-500mb) CAPE output is depicting an area of 500-700 J kg-1 as the storms approach from the west.  This would support the storms intensifying and growing in coverage as they continue to move eastward.

VIS (top left), ENX Base Reflectivity (top right), Nearcast 780-500mb Cape (bottom left), and Nearcast Thta-E Difference (bottom right).