Forecaster comments from EWP blog...
We are focused on the JAX CWA today. While there is convection ongoing
in the extreme northern portion of the area (bordering FFC and CHS), the
GOES-R NearCast CAPE (new this week) and vertical theta-e difference
suggest that the southern half of the JAX CWA is more conducive for new
convection.
The NearCast has been challenging to interpret this week due to
interpretation confusion (are negative versus positive theta-e
differences indicative of instability) and then a mid-week visualization
change in AWIPS 2. The NearCast shows promise for helping with the
tremendously-difficult 1-6 hour timeframe, but the product stability has
presented a problem.
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