Despite strong indications from the NSSL-WRF SimuSat imagery, convection in the DVN CWA has stayed rather benign. The NSSL-WRF appears to have overestimated the low-level prefrontal moisture.
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Monitoring & Forecasting DVN Convection
Forecaster comments from EWP blog...
Despite strong indications from the NSSL-WRF SimuSat imagery, convection in the DVN CWA has stayed rather benign. The NSSL-WRF appears to have overestimated the low-level prefrontal moisture.
The GOES-R NearCast Theta-E Low vs. Mid-Level Theta-E image indicates
very little destabilization ahead of the front (in fact, it actually
indicates increased stability). This is consistent with surface
dewpoints in the 30s and 40s reported ahead of the front.
Despite strong indications from the NSSL-WRF SimuSat imagery, convection in the DVN CWA has stayed rather benign. The NSSL-WRF appears to have overestimated the low-level prefrontal moisture.
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