Thursday, June 10, 2010

Early UWCI detection leads to golf-ball sized hail producing storm


At 2132 UTC UWCI made a detection of a 'Pre-CI Growth' with a convective element located withing the very southern region of the Boulder, CO CWA (See figure above). At approximately 2204 UTC, radar imagery indicated the first echo > 35 dBZ with this flagged convection giving the UWCI 32 minutes of lead time on the significant radar echo. At approximately 2309 UTC the ensuing storm had spotter reports of golf ball sized hail. A success!

Additionally, as a side note, UWCI has be performing well most of the afternoon, since our four-letter friends cirrus have not been creating problems for the algorithm. A lot of the early convection that has been flagged did not amount to much, since it would die as it hit the very large cap in place, thanks to ~ 19C temperature layer at 850 mb. Radar echoes would reach 40-45 dBZ to about 4000 ft and then die. Lead times on these initial convective elements were approximately 20-30 minutes. Later indications of cloud top cooling are showing more progress with vertical development.

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