GOES-East LightningCast Version 1 seemed to pick up on lightning ahead of LightningCast Version 2 (MRMS-trained) for the cell in the southern portion of the ABQ domain (bottom-middle of screen), with higher probabilities (75% + for V1, 50%+ for V2) at 1916 UTC 05 May 2025. However, once the GLM FED detected lightning, LightningCast V2 saw a more expansive 75% contour. A theme I seemed to pick up on was that LxCast V1 would have higher lightning detection probabilities than V2 prior to initiation, but V2 would have a greater footprint of higher probabilities thereafter, more accurately capturing lightning once it was occurring. V1 probabilities seemed to fluctuate more often than V2 as well.
LightningCast V1 and V2 output in the ABQ WFO area at 1916 UTC and 2006 UTC 05 May 2025.
-May052025
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