ProbSevere

ProbSevere gives every indication of a severe storm over Morton County, ND (see ProbSevere read out below).  The Earth Networks lightning suggests there of 52 fl/min but GLM FED gives 0 fl, TOE 0 fJ, and AFA 0 km^2.  The two depictions below show those three GLM fields with the MRMS 1 km reflectivity.  Perhaps there is an issue with viewing angle at this northern latitude. - Jonathan Wynn Smith (ESSIC/UMD)

ProbHail: 93%; ProbWind: 95%; ProbTor: 5%
- MESH: 1.83 in.
- VIL Density: 3.20 g/m^3
- ENI Flash Rate: 52 fl/min
- ENI Flash Density (max in last 30 min): 0.89 fl/min/km^2
- Max LLAzShear: 0.007 /s
- 98% LLAzShear: 0.006 /s
- 98% MLAzShear: 0.008 /s
- Norm. vert. growth rate: 2101Z 1.3%/min (weak)
- EBShear: 38.0 kts; SRH 0-1km AGL: 155 m^2/s^2
- MUCAPE: 2925 J/kg; MLCAPE: 1657 J/kg; MLCIN: -36 J/kg
- MeanWind 1-3kmAGL: 26.4 kts
- Wetbulb 0C hgt: 9.0 kft AGL
- CAPE -10C to -30C: 546 J/kg; PWAT: 1.3 in.
GLM: max FED: 0 fl; sum FCD: 0 fl/5-min
GLM: max TOE: 0 fJ; avg AFA: 0 km^2
Avg. beam height (ARL): 1.28 kft / 0.39 km
Object ID: 273531
PS: 98