Monday, April 29, 2019

Week 2 of the 2019 EWP Underway

6 National Weather Service forecasters are in Norman, Oklahoma at the Hazardous Weather Testbed for the 2019 Experimental Warning Program--Satellite and Radar Convective Applications Experiment.  Monday is being used as a training and AWIPS-II product familiarity/procedure building day.  This will serve all participants well in the coming week as much more active convective weather is expected starting Tuesday.  Many satellite and radar products will be evaluated, including NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere v2.  ProbSevere v2 explicitly produces probability of severe hail, severe wind, and tornado.  One element of focus for the 2019 evaluation is the inclusion of a 'double contour'--one ProbSevere contour that is the maximum of ProbHail and ProbWind for a storm and an outer contour that is the ProbTor probability for a storm.  The double contour approach was a widely requested enhancement by participants of the 2018 HWT EWP as a mechanism for forecasters to monitor severe wind/hail as well as tornado threat on a single display (often all tilts radar).

J. Sieglaff

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