ABI and All-Sky LAP
1 minute imagery helped track individual cu field development under thin cirrus
1 minute imagery helped track individual cu field development under thin cirrus
Cloud phase didn’t help any more just the Vis to analyze initiation
CAPE and LI seemed underdone by about half compared to mesoanalysis
All-Sky LAP seemed to bring values down in the LUB CWA closer to mesoanalysis than what the GFS had which seemed overdone
There was an upward trend in CAPE throughout the day which seemed useful as the day wore on and reports started coming in.
Doesn’t seem to add value but did perform well
Satellite derived CAPE and other products will be useful for off the East coast where mesoanalysis cut off at the coast
A lot of cloud cover caused the layered PW to not be too helpful
GLM
Forecasters really just need to know where the lightning flashes are
Need to be able to see the trend in the color tables to be able to see the cores and to see the increases and decreases better
Open to many suggestions on color tables that would be helpful for forecasters
Having different color curves for the different products would probably be more useful to to pull out the highlights of each product
Want a product that is 5 minute cumulative with 1 minute updates
Just the 1 minute data makes it hard to see the trends than having a 5 minute cumulative with a 1 minute update
NUCAPS
Need to be able to see the trend in the color tables to be able to see the cores and to see the increases and decreases better
Open to many suggestions on color tables that would be helpful for forecasters
Having different color curves for the different products would probably be more useful to to pull out the highlights of each product
Want a product that is 5 minute cumulative with 1 minute updates
Just the 1 minute data makes it hard to see the trends than having a 5 minute cumulative with a 1 minute update
NUCAPS
Issues with gridded products coming in the full way so they didn’t see much use
Modified NUCAPS adjustment way overdid the boundary layer moisture with height
NUCAPS seemed to be too cool in the mid levels and the tropopause was too low
30 minutes to an hour latency for the point soundings would be ideal
Anything over an hour would probably not be looked at and seen as out of date
The modified and unmodified were the same and didn’t make any modifications
Modified should at the very least update the surface temperature and dew point to match the RTMA
ProbSevere
Modified NUCAPS adjustment way overdid the boundary layer moisture with height
NUCAPS seemed to be too cool in the mid levels and the tropopause was too low
30 minutes to an hour latency for the point soundings would be ideal
Anything over an hour would probably not be looked at and seen as out of date
The modified and unmodified were the same and didn’t make any modifications
Modified should at the very least update the surface temperature and dew point to match the RTMA
ProbSevere
Might be useful to display both the all hazards and tornado at the same time to be able to capture the tornado probabilities if they jump up
Interested to see if the probabilities are more calibrated than previous versions
In LUB the storm had a hail spike and ProbSevere went up to ~55% which with both of those prompted a warning
Want to be able to have all the hazards in one pane but still be able to easily distinguish between the severe hazards
Lines would probably need to be in different colors than the all hazards ProbSevere
Possibly would be good to toggle through with a key on the keyboard
CI
Interested to see if the probabilities are more calibrated than previous versions
In LUB the storm had a hail spike and ProbSevere went up to ~55% which with both of those prompted a warning
Want to be able to have all the hazards in one pane but still be able to easily distinguish between the severe hazards
Lines would probably need to be in different colors than the all hazards ProbSevere
Possibly would be good to toggle through with a key on the keyboard
CI
The GOES West CI over Cheyenne seemed to do better probably due to look angle
In LUB the CI didn’t seem to work too well under a pretty thick cirrus deck where you could see the cu developing in the visible imagery but not really any cooling in the IR
There were some pretty big jumps and then decreases back down
In LUB the CI didn’t seem to work too well under a pretty thick cirrus deck where you could see the cu developing in the visible imagery but not really any cooling in the IR
There were some pretty big jumps and then decreases back down
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