Thursday, May 10, 2018

ProbSevereWindTor with severe storm

Looked at Prob Severe Tor/Wind/Hail with MRMS reflectivity. The Hail probabilities actually increased to 90% prior to warning issuance. MESH values were around 1.56 inches. Prob Wind was a lower (78%) value. Did see where there was a TBSS in the dual pol and reflectivity products indicative of hail. Issued severe thunderstorm warning shortly after the probs showed this. Did notice that Prob Tor was around 1% but monitoring the velocities as the cell is located near the warm front and wind shear is sufficient to support it.


More to come...

Supercell

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