Thursday, May 17, 2018

ProbSevere way too large

We talked briefly about using the MRMS isothermal (-10C, I think) reflectivity to differentiate cells for the ProbSevere algorithm. This would certain improve the smearing of echoes that occurs when storms are nearby. In this particular example, At least 4-5 separate updrafts were observed but the ProbSevere included all as one cell, basically covering much of 2 counties, plus a few more. Certainly the algorithm is useful for the strongest storm, but it doesn't provide much spatial value like this. I feel a longer processing time is useful if it can prevent this from occurring.

Fig 1. Multi-county ProbSevere on a non-linear cluster of storms.


wall_cloud

No comments:

Post a Comment