Wednesday, May 2, 2018

God help us...he's trying to issue warnings!

Had fun pretending to issue warnings today.  Was monitoring a cell that had a persistent, not super impressive mid level rotation.  Suddenly the cell developed a very strong low level rotation on the 0.5 tilt of the FDR radar.  I definitely wasn't expecting to see something develop such a strong signal that would immediately make me think of issuing a TOR.  I easily could have been paying attention to some other cells.

At the time that the low level circulation became visibly obvious to me, ProbSevere had 17% for TOR (values above 80% for wind/hail like most storms today).  In one or two updates it jumped to 72%.  ProbSevere showed potential to draw my attention back to the cell very shortly after development had I been looking elsewhere.

(FDR radar SRM loop)

-Forrest

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