Had fun pretending to issue warnings today. Was monitoring a cell that had a persistent, not super impressive mid level rotation. Suddenly the cell developed a very strong low level rotation on the 0.5 tilt of the FDR radar. I definitely wasn't expecting to see something develop such a strong signal that would immediately make me think of issuing a TOR. I easily could have been paying attention to some other cells.
At the time that the low level circulation became visibly obvious to me, ProbSevere had 17% for TOR (values above 80% for wind/hail like most storms today). In one or two updates it jumped to 72%. ProbSevere showed potential to draw my attention back to the cell very shortly after development had I been looking elsewhere.
(FDR radar SRM loop)
-Forrest

No comments:
Post a Comment