Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Convective Initiation

Working the ALY forecast area today. Strong/severe convection developed rapidly around 18z ahead of the main line over PA. Loop below shows
probability of severe storms, overlaid on VIS imagery.  Strongest storms  developed along Ulster, Greene and Columbia counties, but not too well anticipated by the CI products which were highlighting the cu field farther SW.
A.Cope


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