Convective Initiation Product for Des Moines, IA

Convective Initiation (severe) product indicating developing TS across far southern IA late this afternoon. The values indicated look to be running too 'hot' (Figure 1). Base reflectivity 5-10 minutes later verifies what the CI product indicated (Figure 2).

 

Figure 1. Convective Initiation Severe values increasing across far southern IA and far northern MO late this afternoon.

Figure 2. 4 panel of ProbSevere products overlaid with 0.5 degree reflectivity. Top Right: ProbHail; Bottom Right: ProbTor; Bottom Left: ProbWind