Wednesday, May 9, 2018

CI Product Struggles

Monitoring the Convective Initiation (CI) Product this afternoon for development across Wisconsin, Illinois and Indiana. It seemed to highlight potential development best over Illinois but struggled over Wisconsin (especially Madison supercell) and Indiana. Struggles could be attributed to high stratus blockage and such. With the values jumping back and forth between low and higher CI percentages and the sheer amounts of blue highlighting (low CI probs) across the map, I find this product to not be of much use in a situation like today. It could be beneficial to completely block out lower CI probs (say 40% and below) as this could possibly direct a forecaster's attention to areas more likely for CI.


- Jack Swigert

No comments:

Post a Comment