CI Probs Along WY-SD Border

Another example of the GOES-16 general convective initiation probabilities. Loop below shows CI probs overlaid on VIS imagery. From 1700Z to 1900Z, storms developed N-S along the WY-SD border. Prior to deep convection developing, the CI probs were no higher than about 30 percent. Seems like they should be higher than that. A. Cope