Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Rapidly Stregthening Storm - Flagstaff Area north of Seligman



With numerous weaker updrafts in area, this storm began to stand out based on 1 minute IR signature.  A brief increase in reflectivity aloft with storm was noted with 50 dbz heights. Saw an increase in the lightning rate as well per ProbSevere data, but GLM flash count did not show much of an increase at all. While IR data did help highlight a rapidly developing storm, trends after this point suggested another pulse storm and decision not to issue warning was made, which was supported by ProbSevere maxing out around 20%.


-JRM

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