ProbSevere - Grand Forks CWA

Overall thought the ProbSevere model did well for the event today. Did not see any rapid jumps that really caught me off guard. Thought it did a good job early on the event on keying in on storms that had a more marginal threat. Noticed on a few cells where ProbSevere was around 50% and MESH was over the severe threshold. Seems like past versions of model where quick to max out probabilities once that parameter went over an inch, which may have neglected environments where melting may be taking place.

Definitely allowed me to prioritize which updrafts needed the most attention.

-JRM