RAH Case: GOES-16 preference for intial detection, Prob-Severe evident to not warn.

RAH: Developed a secondary line of convection seen below in radar 0.5Z.

• GOES-16 1-min VIS/IR proved the easiest way to target the strongest cell within the line via cooling IR cloud tops and shadowed towering cu with a lower sun angle.

This signature of this stronger cell came a few minutes ahead of signals from elevated cores in reflectivity and relative increases in lightning activity which really didn't show up until about 10 to 15 minutes later below.

Unlike earlier in the day,  ProbWind chances stayed relatively low (<40%) through the next 15 minutes. Based on the lack of wind reported through the day opted to not issue a warning. (Decision mainly based on these tools and not on extensive radar interrogation...aside from monitoring core aloft). ProbWind gave confidence also to not issue a warning. No reports thus far. --Tahoe