The experimental SNPP NUCAPS sounding (below right) had much higher CAPE, around 4,500 J/KG at 18z.
SPC mesoanalysis at the same time had CAPE around 3,500 J/KG which is closer to the experimental SNPP NUCAPS at 18z.
While the experimental NUCAPS may be a bit overdone, it did lead to a potential reason why the storms in RAH area did not sustain themselves. Shear values were much lower, meaning storms likely intensified and then quickly rained themselves out as shear was too weak to sustain the updrafts.




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