ProbSevere Analysis: 2 main areas of interest, partner took northern cell and I took southern. Focused on the high ProbSevere area of southern cell.
- Started looking at this cell with ProbHail & ProbWind were steadily about 80% with development along the southern part of the line.
- Focused on that cell from ProbSevere, looked at the 1 min Vis and saw a nice look and development to the Cbs. Even though Z aloft wasn't that big, the trend was increasing.
- Thought threat would be marginal for hail and more so wind from precip loading and cells that have had a history throwing out outflows.
- Didn't have great confidence in this cell, particularly when the GLM data didn't show an large uptick in lighting event output prior to issuance.
- Result: Cell quickly collapsed, ProbSevere values dropped and no reports were received...yet.
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