Thursday, May 12, 2016

When to ignore PROBSEVERE

My partner decided to issue a warning for this storm above.  Even though prob.severe is only 18%...we suspect the low shear rates, and poor growth due to so-so mid level lapse rates, may be bringing the PROB severe down.  With high dbz up to 20,000ft+ and impressive winds on velocity, warning has been issued. 
-Stormfront

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