Warning Operations Have Commenced

As expected, convection now developing in earnest over southwestern portions of the CWA.  Based on rapid increase in both prob severe and lightning jump data to 5 sigma, issued for Nelson county.

Update: golfball size hail reported in Nelson county at 2115Z.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
459 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL NELSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 459 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  SHIPMAN...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLIFFORD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  30 MPH.

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SHIPMAN AROUND 505 PM EDT.
  WINTERGREEN AROUND 515 PM EDT.
  SCHUYLER AROUND 525 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
ROCKFISH...BRYANT...LOVINGSTON...ELMA...GREENFIELD...JONESBORO...FABER...
ROSELAND...NELLYSFORD AND MASSIES MILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 7904 3797 7884 3779 7869 3778 7869
      3777 7868 3768 7895
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 229DEG 25KT 3775 7894

$$

TORNADOTOD