Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Probability of CG Lightning Verification (Small Lead Time).

Note: The CG Lightning Probability product is not a GOES-R or JPSS funded project.

The image below shows MRMS Isothermal Reflectivity at the 0C and -20C levels, as well as the probability of CG lightning (colored blobs) at 1810 UTC. The mustard colored blob with the cursor readout showed a 60% probability of CG lightning at 1810 UTC.


The image below shows the same as above, with the addition of CG lightning observations at 1812 UTC. There was a positive lightning strike detected with this storm at 1812 UTC, near the cursor readout. This provided a small lead time for the detection of CG lightning with this cell. JJW


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