This is a great product to look at before the anticipated thunderstorms this afternoon. As of 1730z, there are just a few, non-severe, thunderstorms across the far southern portion of the CAE CWA.
The 4 panel does include the GFS model as part of the analysis. While hovering over the CWA, I noticed that the GFS is under doing the LI, CAPE, and PW when comparing to the Charleston, SC 12z sounding and what we expect in the area today.
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| GFS output moused over |
When looking at the satellite output, the LI, CAPE, and PW values greatly increased to figures we would expect with thunderstorm development today.
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| Satellite output moused over |
The satellite data does help to increase our confidence when forecasting overall convection for the afternoon and early evening.
-BW
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