Wednesday, May 4, 2016

GOES CI strikes again...

While waiting for convection to pop further west closer to the low level  instability gradient, GOES CI provided an excellent prediction with 1915Z output indicating 65-70% probabilities over the central CWA.

1915Z GOES CI






21 minutes later, MRMS Composite Reflectivity echoes above 35 dBZ have developed over central portions of the CWA collocated right where GOES CI had its higher probs.  Excellent!

1936 MRMS 0.5 km MSL Composite Reflectivity

Tornadotod

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