Would like to follow up on all the experimental products and how I felt things went today.
LAP CAPE: This product performed well and tried to correct the underperforming GFS. Did a great job of pinpointing that our best instability would be quite a bit to the east of the dryline. This indeed was where we ended up with the best storms of the day. All in all I found this product useful.
LAP Layer PW: Performed well today in depicting the evolution of the dryline throughout the day. This product continues to prove useful.
Atmospheric motion vectors were once again instrumental in identifying boundaries in the convective initiation phase. It was a great situational awareness tool to gague where the next convection would possibly occur.
ProbSevere did a great job in depicting where the best cells were. It also did a very good job of showing early on which storms might not make it to severe criterea. These storms pulsed up quickly but then quickly died. ProbSevere never made it over 60% in these situations. In one case, I issued a warning and it did not verify. ProbSevere won the day.
NUCAPS soundings were marginally helpful in skew-t format, but what I thought was really insightful was the plan view of fields such as mixing ratio.
CI was really the disappointment of the day today. The CI barely caught any of the cells in our area (maybe one). Also data appeared confusing as CI Severe values were often higher than regular CI values. This product was not very helpful at all today.
Super Rapid Scan was a great help today, especially in identifying overshooting tops when multiple storms were firing. It was a great suppliment to radar data, led to confident warnings and even was used to identify splitting cells. Really like this product in my warning operations.
See other posts today for example of all of the above. - Jason Bourne
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