The image below shows that cell at 38 dBZ over southern Weakly County, TN at 1745 UTC. Thus, this cell developed despite the relatively low 34% CI value at 1730 UTC. This initiated along the pre-frontal trough and moisture plume axis. JJW
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
CI Underestimate with cell in Weakly County TN.
The CI product in the upper left image below showed only about a 34% chance of CI at 1730 UTC for the cell that did develop later on in Weakly County, TN.
The image below shows that cell at 38 dBZ over southern Weakly County, TN at 1745 UTC. Thus, this cell developed despite the relatively low 34% CI value at 1730 UTC. This initiated along the pre-frontal trough and moisture plume axis. JJW
The image below shows that cell at 38 dBZ over southern Weakly County, TN at 1745 UTC. Thus, this cell developed despite the relatively low 34% CI value at 1730 UTC. This initiated along the pre-frontal trough and moisture plume axis. JJW
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