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| Convective Initiation Algorithm at 2030Z |
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| ProbSevere Probability overlaid with ENI Total Lightning and 1-minute SRSOR Visible imagery at 2215Z |
~Lilly Miller~
Thursday, May 5, 2016
CI gives a lead time of 45 minutes!
The highest CI of the day matched up with the highest ProbSevere Probability...so far! The CI algorithm showed a 61% probability at 2030Z. Then...as convection formed and moved northwest towards that specific area where the CI was...the cell intensified and became severe. By 2215Z, the ProbSevere probability peaked at 50% (without any satellite information) and a warning was issued!
~Lilly Miller~
~Lilly Miller~
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