Wednesday, May 11, 2016

2245 UTC SJT: ACTION AT LAST

After a long discussion, we shifted our warning area westward by one forecast area to SJT.  It was a good move as the developing MCS in the southeast portion of the LUB forecast drifting into the northern portion of SJT. In the upper left panel the PROB Severe jumped 100%. A LJA showed a broad 2 sigma increase as shown in the upper right panel. A beautiful overshooting top is depicted in the VIS/IR data.


Two severe thunderstorm warnings have been issued for hail up to ping pong ball size and 60 mph winds at 529 pm and 548 pm for winds of 50-65 kts 2-4 kft AGL, and 60 dBz hail core to 30 kft AGL.


-Yodamaster777

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