Storm moving into KCRP WFO

Both forecaster groups are setup in the Corpus Christie, TX WFO.  Thus far the only storm of interest was over Webb County near the Rio Grande river.  The forecaster groups found ProbSevere to confirm what they had observed in their all-tilts radar analysis--a strengthening storm in the 1850 to 1900 UTC time frame (Figure 1).  The ProbSevere information helped increase confidence, but did not much provide lead-time since the forecasters said, "...we were already on this storm, examining all-tilts".  They speculated ProbSevere output would be even more useful in a region with multiple storms that require interrogation and a warn/no-warn decision.

Figure 1.  NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere and MRMS composite reflectivity valid 1846 - 1900 UTC 18 April 2016.

As of this writing no reports have been received from this storm.  We've had some conversations related to the difficulty in validating storms in very rural regions.

-Sieglaff