Thursday, April 28, 2016

ProbSevere and Lightning Jump Help In Decision To Let Warning Expire

A warning on a severe storm in the western RAH CWA was nearing its expiration. Radar signatures were marginal leading up to the expiration time and I was not confident on my decision to re-issue. However, ProbSevere, total lightning activity, and the lightning jump algorithm were all declining leading up to the decision time. This nudged me to not re-issue the warning, and shortly after the warning expired, the storm all but died.

-Toki Wartooth

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