We're monitoring the convection just southwest of Stockton where CI had the highest values of the day (strong - red), followed by the highest prob severe values of the day. Trends on radar using All-Tilts in Midland have been steady the last few minutes and the storm is clearly sub-severe. Interestingly, 40-50 dBZ core depths are very similar along a line from just southeast of Stockton westward to the Brewser County line where the cell that has the higher prob severe signal is located. We'll continue to monitor trends in this cell to see if CI and prob severe where accurately able to differentiate which cell had the greatest potential.
UPDATE: About one hour later this cell has become the most intense on radar with 50 dBZ to around 33 KFT and 60-65 dBZ throughout the hail growth zone. Also noteworthy, the severe CI was higher about an hour ago as this convection began to develop than with any other convection seen today. Values were around 50 approximately an hour ago.
-dryadiabat
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