Thursday, May 21, 2015
SRSOR, ENI, ProbSevere and Radar Data for ILM Warning Decision
Developing storms interacted with north/south sea breeze boundary across ILM. Initially, the 1-min SRSOR showed towering cumulus and the cloud features showed intense updrafts. At first, ENI data indicated no/little cloud flashes. However, within 1 to 2 minutes, lightning rates increased dramatically (60 to 70 per minute). ProbSevere jumped similarly as well, from less than 20 percent to a maximum of 81 percent. Finally, using the KLTX radar data, a very impressive hail core aloft was noted with 70 dbz up to -20C (25,000 ft). The combination of the SRSOR data showed that the particular cell was one to watch, the rapid increase in ENI data and ProbSevere were excellent precursors to what eventually showed up in the KLTX data.
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