ProbSevere highlights storm heading toward Crowell, Texas

ProbSevere had a 65% probability at 23:08Z (Figure 1), and the NWS issued a warning 16 min later at 23:24Z (Figure 2). Like many of the warned storms in western Texas, we haven't received any reports yet. Several HWT forecasters have liked how ProbSevere highlights storms to watch, and how it helps consolidate much of the pertinent data they have to look at. They especially liked watching the trend in ProbSevere values.

Figure 1: ProbSevere, visible reflectance, and composite reflectivity at 23:08 UTC.

Figure 2: ProbSevere, visible reflectance, and composite reflectivity at 23:26 UTC, 2 min before a warning was issued.

-Cintineo