At 21:00Z (below) there’s a 55% probability polygon highlighted in a high 0.5 Reflectivity area. To the northeast of this is a 5% polygon shown.
Monday, May 11, 2015
ProbSevere analysis near New Orleans
The first day of the EWP has been pretty intense but very interesting. I focused on a couple of storms in Texas: the first just west of Houston died pretty quickly but the second, north-west of New Orleans, proved more interesting. One of my favourite products so far is ProbSevere but I’ve found that it can be inconsistent with the polygons and probabilities.
At 21:00Z (below) there’s a 55% probability polygon highlighted in a high 0.5 Reflectivity area. To the northeast of this is a 5% polygon shown.
At 21:00Z (below) there’s a 55% probability polygon highlighted in a high 0.5 Reflectivity area. To the northeast of this is a 5% polygon shown.
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