Today, one group was operating in the Sterling CWA where the threat for severe weather was quite low, but a cold front was quickly making its way through the region. The 1815Z NUCAPS pass was timely as participants were able to view atmospheric profiles on both sides of the front (Fig 1).
Fig 1: NUCAPS sounding points with surface obs and visible satellite imagery overlayed. Centered over Sterling CWA.
Selecting a sounding ahead of the front, the surface conditions (temperature and DP) needed to be adjusted to match actual surface conditions (Fig. 2). Additionally, the bottom few points of the sounding were smoothed out to make a more realistic profile LL profile. Upon making these changes, instability was still present ahead of the front given decent MUCAPE and SBCAPE. However, MLCAPE was virtually nonexistent, and a possible inversion was apparent between 700 and 850 mb, perhaps the reason for a lack of robust convective activity.
Fig 2: Modified NUCAPS sounding ahead of CF.
Selecting a profile behind the front and making the necessary changes to the lowest parts, one can certainly tell that the front had passed through the area (Fig 3). With significantly cooler and drier air aloft (in addition to at the surface) the atmosphere is now completely stable.

Fig 3: Modified NUCAPS sounding behind CF
This was a good example of how a forecaster can use the timely NUCAPS soundings to identify the existence and locations of boundaries, especially those that are not as obvious from other guidance.
– Bill Line, SPC/HWT Satellite Liaison


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