NUCAPS Sample

Tested NUCAPS sounding for southeast Idaho.  The point used is circled.  The visible image was close to the sample time, but there may have been some cloud contamination.  Adjusted the surface observations upward based on the nearest MesoWest surface observation.  It was difficult because a lot of the lower points needed to be adjusted to keep it realistic.  The instability seems a little high, but it could be localized.  Will see how the thunderstorms in the area develop over the next few hours.

Update: This thunderstorm moved over the sampled area about two hours later.  It peaked at about 55-60 dBZ Composite Refl and had a NOAA/CIMSS Prob Severe Model reading of 24% at that time.  The 5-minute ENTLN Lightning 3 km grid peaked at 11 with this storm.  There was no ground truth to verify what happened there.  But will note the complex mountain terrain in that area and how difficult thunderstorm modeling and forecasting is in Western Region (with local effects, etc.).  This was a decent test.

-Champion