Monday, May 4, 2015

Convective Initiation Success!

Looking back at the big picture and focusing on the GOES-R convective initiation, there was not much showing in our area of responsibility (TOP) but further south in northern Oklahoma I noticed some increasing probabilities at 1900 UTC.


15 minutes later at 1915 UTC the CI probability jumped to 90% on the east side of a cluster of identified clouds while there were also 40% probs on the west side.

















Immediately after this time it was evident there was convective development was occurring as seen in this 2000 UTC satellite image below.

















By 2030 UTC some CG lightning strikes were noted seen in the image below.  Radar at 2030 UTC also included.

Jack Bauer

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