Thursday, May 22, 2014

ProbSVR Showed Downward Trend


With a significant increase in ProbSvr and good environmental conditions Linda issued a severe thunderstorm warning for a storm in northern TN. ProbSvr at this time was near 90% at this time.



Two volume scans later, while the reflectivity was still fairly significant the ProbSvr dropped to 48 percent. Two more volume scans later the reflectivity looked like the above image where the storm was obviously weak. This downward trend in ProbSvr was great since it was near the southern end of the severe thunderstorm warning and another warning decision was near.

-JB

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